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Key California Races Could Determine Control of US Senate

· Confirmed

Politics Desk

In Short: Several California congressional races are expected to be close and could determine control of the Senate.

In the closing weeks of the campaign, a top Republican super PAC canceled its ad spending in the race to focus more on protecting seats in more conservative territory as Cooper built a solid lead in the polls.

Cooper’s victory secures a crucial flip for Democrats as they try to take control of the Senate.

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Republicans currently control the Senate with a 53–47 majority.

Polls show Democrats leading their Republican opponents in several key races that may determine control of the Senate.

The race is among a handful of Senate contests this year expected to determine control of the chamber.

Michigan has voted for Trump in two of the last three elections, yet Democrats have prevailed in every Senate race since 1994.

Some of the races that were closely watched earlier this year have slid from the spotlight as the election grew near.

As both parties prepare for the final leg of the campaign, here are some of the most closely watched Senate races.

These are the most consequential U.S. House races in California, which could determine how big the Democrats’ majority in Congress will be.

The remaining two redrawn districts — one in the Central Valley and the other straddling San Diego and Riverside counties — were drawn to be more competitive, although Democrats were leading by large margins in those races late Tuesday night.

Background

In the 2026 Senate races, several candidates are outperforming their poll numbers, including Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan and Maine's Susan Collins.

Voters across the country cast ballots on the final day of the 2026 midterm elections, with Democrats appearing to have an edge in several crucial Senate races.

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