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Midterm Elections: Key Senate Races Could Decide Control

Confirmed

Politics Desk

In Short: As the 2026 midterm elections approach, Democrats face a challenging path to regain control of the US Senate, where Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority.

2018 Midterm Elections Viewing Party (44874141745)
Photo: US Embassy Canada / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0)

The race in Alaska is one of the key contests, with incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan facing a strong challenge from Democratic former US Representative Mary Peltola.

Republicans have also outspent Democrats in the race, with $42 million spent by Republicans compared to $38 million by Democrats.

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In a campaign rally, former President Donald Trump criticized the race, calling it a scheme and alleging election fraud.

Former President Barack Obama has emphasized the importance of these races, stating that they provide Democrats a direct avenue to try to halt Trump's agenda over the next two years.

The push for control of the Senate includes cutting off spending in less attainable House races and focusing on key Senate seats.

With rising prices and the ongoing war on Iran, voter discontent is high, making these races more competitive than initially expected.

State races are also gaining attention, with all 47 Maryland State Senate seats up for grabs.

Tech money has been pouring into many of these races, with ad spending data suggesting the core battle is less about stopping a Democratic wave in the House and more about how high it crests.

What this adds

The surge in spending and voter discontent with the war on Iran and rising prices are making these races more competitive.

Environmental advocates are focusing on state races, given the low likelihood of federal climate policy under Trump.

Voters are increasingly relying on chatbots to make informed decisions in down-ballot races with thinner news coverage.

Background

The surge in spending comes as consumers continue to navigate higher prices and slower wage growth, making every purchase a careful decision.

The U.S. midterm elections face uncertainty as key Senate races tighten, with Trump and Obama campaigning in Ohio.

What's confirmed

What's still developing

Sources