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California Races Could Determine Senate Control
· Confirmed
In Short: Several California congressional races are expected to be close and could determine control of the Senate.
Several California congressional races are expected to be close, as counties tabulate ballots received up to seven days after Election Day, potentially determining control of the Senate.
House races in California could also determine control of Congress and the future direction of the Democratic Party, with progressive challengers seeking to oust longtime incumbents.
In the closing weeks of the campaign, a top Republican super PAC canceled its ad spending in the race to focus more on protecting seats in more conservative territory, as Cooper built a solid lead in the polls.
Cooper’s victory secures a crucial flip for Democrats as they try to take control of the Senate.
Polls show Democrats leading their Republican opponents in several key races that may determine control of the Senate, with Trump making late visits to traditional Republican strongholds in hopes of rallying his base.
Michigan has voted for Trump in two of the last three elections, yet Democrats have prevailed in every Senate race since 1994.
Michigan's Senate race is among a handful of contests expected to determine control of the chamber.
Haley Stevens, D-Mich., endorsed Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers, a major shake-up in the final stages of a top battleground race.
Michigan's race is being closely watched nationally as it could determine control of the Senate, which is narrowly held by Republicans, 53-47.
Over $500 million has been spent on ads in the state, according to AdImpact.
What this adds
Several California congressional races are expected to be close and could determine control of the Senate, as previously noted.
Background
In the 2026 Senate races, several candidates are outperforming their poll numbers, including Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan and Maine's Susan Collins.
Several California congressional races are expected to be close and could determine control of the Senate.
What's confirmed
- Republicans currently control the Senate with a 53–47 majority.
What's still developing
- The race was initially expected to be one of the most hotly contested across the Senate landscape.
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- The Democratic campaign for Alaska's U.S. Senate seat was involved in efforts to place on the ballot a candidate with the same name as Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan in a bid to confuse voters in a race that could determine which party controls the chamber, The New York Times reported Wednesday.
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- “These are the most important midterm elections ever,” Trump told the crowd at the Ocean Center Arena, beseeching voters to head to the polls for the midterm election that will determine which party controls Congress.
- Get the latest reports on tech and media earnings — click or tap here Major television news organizations have announced their plans for extensive coverage of the November 3 midterm elections, with broadcasters and streaming platforms planning hours of live reporting, election analysis and interactive features as voters determine control of Congress.
- North Carolina became the first state on Friday authorised to begin sending out ballots, formally launching an election season that culminates on November 3 and will determine control of Congress for the final two years of Trump's term.
- Some of the races that were closely watched earlier this year have slid from the spotlight as the election grew near.
- The remaining two redrawn districts — one in the Central Valley and the other straddlingSan Diego and Riverside counties — were drawn to be more competitive, although Democrats were leading by large margins in those races late Tuesday night.
- The Fox News Decision Desk called the Texas Senate race in Talarico's favor shortly after 11 p.m.
- Though Ohio has been moving increasingly toward Republicans in recent elections, Husted faces a tough race amid growing concerns about affordability and data centers in his home state.