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US Jobs Report Falls Short of Expectations in September

Confirmed

Business Desk

In Short: The unemployment rate increased to 4.2% from 4.1%, surpassing economists' expectations of 4.1%, as reported by Fox Business.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that American employers added 29,000 jobs in September, a figure well below the anticipated 90,000 positions, according to CoinGape and Fox Business.

Healthcare, construction, and manufacturing sectors saw modest gains, with healthcare adding 17,000 positions, construction 11,000, and manufacturing 9,000 jobs.

Private payrolls grew by 46,000 jobs, below the estimated 85,000, while August's gain of 127,000 was revised down to 89,000.

Government payrolls contracted by 17,000 jobs, with federal, state, and local government employment all experiencing declines.

Average hourly earnings increased by 0.1% in September, bringing annual wage growth to 3.0%, according to CoinGape.

The weak jobs data and inflation reading have crashed expectations of a rate hike in the Federal Reserve's October meeting to 23.8%, down from above 70% a few days earlier, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Ethereum briefly rose to $2,770 on Friday, its highest level in over a week, before easing down following the weak US jobs report.

Despite declining rate-hike expectations, US 10-year note yields have remained strong, indicating continued upward pressure on long-term yields.

Corporate earnings showed mixed results, with Oracle beating expectations on AI cloud growth, whereas Adobe slipped despite solid quarterly figures.

The Producer Price Index for August rose 0.4% month-over-month, in line with market expectations, and the year-over-year gain accelerated from 4.8% to 5.4%.

Vanguard senior economist Adam Schickling noted that the labor market remains resilient but is not accelerating, with hiring subdued and layoffs remarkably low.

Phil Camporeale, chief investment strategist at JPMorgan Wealth Management, said the combination of lower-than-expected jobs created, negative revisions to prior data, and weaker wage growth are further evidence that the labor market is not a source of inflationary pressure.

What this adds

The report adds to the narrative of a resilient but subdued labor market, with hiring remaining modest despite expectations of stronger job growth.

The weak jobs report and inflation reading have significantly reduced expectations for a rate hike in the Federal Reserve's October meeting, down to 23.8% from above 70% a few days earlier.

Background

The flash S&P Global US Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 58.4 in September from 56 in August, signaling a marked acceleration in private-sector activity.

The Eurozone economic sentiment weakened in September, falling below expectations and its long-term average.

What's confirmed

What's still developing

Sources