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Democrats Move Closer to Bypassing Electoral College by 2028
· Confirmed
In Short: Steven Rogers, a political-science professor at Saint Louis University, noted that Democrats were focused on the Electoral College after 2016, but that focus has waned in recent years.
The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC), already enacted by 18 states and Washington, D.C., has 222 electoral votes pledged to it, just 48 short of the 270 needed to take effect.
Fox News contributor Jonathan Turley noted that the compact would apply to the 2028 election only if states representing at least 270 electoral votes join before July 20 of that year.
If the four states join, their combined 50 electoral votes would push the compact to 272 and activate it.
The NPVIC would require participating states to award their presidential electors to the winner of the nationwide popular vote once states representing at least 270 electoral votes have joined.
These states have 61 electoral votes altogether, and if Democrats gain control of both chambers in Arizona, the total could rise to 283.
Patrick Rosenstiel, a senior consultant for NPV, expressed confidence in securing the 48 electoral votes required to deliver the compact.
What this adds
The compact could be activated if four additional states join, pushing the total to 272 electoral votes
Background
The compact could be activated if four additional states join, pushing the total to 272 electoral votes.
What's confirmed
- The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC), already enacted by 18 states and Washington, D.C., has 222 electoral votes pledged to it, just 48 short of the 270 needed to take effect.
- Fox News contributor Jonathan Turley noted that the compact would apply to the 2028 election only if states representing at least 270 electoral votes join before July 20 of that year.
- If the four states join, their combined 50 electoral votes would push the compact to 272 and activate it.
- The NPVIC would require participating states to award their presidential electors to the winner of the nationwide popular vote once states representing at least 270 electoral votes have joined.
- These states have 61 electoral votes altogether, and if Democrats gain control of both chambers in Arizona, the total could rise to 283.
- Patrick Rosenstiel, a senior consultant for NPV, expressed confidence in securing the 48 electoral votes required to deliver the compact.
What's still developing
- The last two presidential elections, with 2024 counting more than 2020.
- Bracing for a highly defensive electoral fight, the GOP currently holds a narrow 218–212 advantage in the House and a 53–45 majority in the Senate.
- Fox News contributor Jonathan Turley discusses criticism of the Electoral College by former 2026 Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and former Vice President Kamala Harris on ‘America Reports.’ Democrats’ midterm gains have opened a new front in the fight over how America chooses its president — one that could reshape the 2028 race for the White House.
- National Popular Vote (NPV), the nonprofit organization that authored the compact and is campaigning to enact it state by state, says it has identified multiple legislative sponsors in each of the five states whose combined electoral votes could push the compact over the 270-vote threshold.
- The Electoral College, by contrast, was structured to give both populous and smaller states a meaningful role in choosing the president.
- Under the current electoral system, every state except Maine and Nebraska awards its electoral votes to the candidate who wins the statewide vote.