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Exit poll: Voters cast ballots against Trump
Confirmed
In Short: Exit polls indicate Republicans are leading Democrats among Election Day voters, with 54% backing Republican candidates and 42% supporting Democrats.
Exit polls conducted on Election Day show Republicans leading Democrats among voters, with 54% backing Republican congressional candidates and 42% supporting Democrats, according to Breitbart. Republican National Committee member Ashley Gruters expressed optimism, saying, “I think we’re going to surprise a lot of people.”
The exit polls, which cover only Election Day voters, contrast with the broader NBC News exit poll, which includes early and mail-in voters. The Breitbart exit poll focuses solely on Election Day voting, providing a snapshot of the immediate voting behavior.
MS NOW, in collaboration with several news organizations, is conducting a comprehensive exit poll called The Voter Poll. They plan to survey approximately 100,000 voters, offering a national sample of over 75,000 respondents and state-level samples. This extensive evaluation aims to understand the motivations behind voters' decisions, such as economic concerns or the impact of the Iran war.
Economic factors are a significant consideration for voters, with rising everyday costs, surging home prices, and strong stock market gains shaping their choices. The New York Federal Reserve study found that Trump's tariffs added about 2.9 percentage points to consumer goods prices, highlighting the economic impact of his policies.
The Department of Justice (DOJ) is taking action against noncitizens illegally registered to vote, including some who cast ballots. The DOJ has provided states with lists of suspected noncitizens or green card holders, urging local election officials to cooperate or face legal action.
In Michigan, an exit poll of early voters revealed that nearly one in four Jewish voters who supported Democratic Sen. Elissa Slotkin in 2024 crossed party lines to vote for Republican Mike Rogers instead of Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed this year.
Arab voter participation in Israel's latest election nearly doubled compared with the previous polls, while Arab parties also increased their representation in the 120-member Knesset. Amal, an Arab voter, expressed pride in the community's unity, saying, “Personally, I know we shouldn’t get too optimistic, but I’m proud — proud of the Arab community for standing together today.”
The 2026 midterm elections are crucial for determining control of Congress and the future of President Trump's agenda. Voters will decide all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, and 36 governorships, with the outcome potentially reshaping the political landscape.
What this adds
The Breitbart exit poll only covers Election Day voters, while the NBC News exit poll includes early and mail-in voters.
MS NOW's The Voter Poll aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of voter motivations and behaviors.
What's confirmed
- The exit polls, which cover only Election Day voters, contrast with the broader NBC News exit poll, which includes early and mail-in voters. The Breitbart exit poll focuses solely on Election Day voting, providing a snapshot of the immediate voting behavior.
- MS NOW, in collaboration with several news organizations, is conducting a comprehensive exit poll called The Voter Poll. They plan to survey approximately 100,000 voters, offering a national sample of over 75,000 respondents and state-level samples. This extensive evaluation aims to understand the motivations behind voters' decisions, such as economic concerns or the impact of the Iran war.
- Economic factors are a significant consideration for voters, with rising everyday costs, surging home prices, and strong stock market gains shaping their choices. The New York Federal Reserve study found that Trump's tariffs added about 2.9 percentage points to consumer goods prices, highlighting the economic impact of his policies.
- The Department of Justice (DOJ) is taking action against noncitizens illegally registered to vote, including some who cast ballots. The DOJ has provided states with lists of suspected noncitizens or green card holders, urging local election officials to cooperate or face legal action.
- In Michigan, an exit poll of early voters revealed that nearly one in four Jewish voters who supported Democratic Sen. Elissa Slotkin in 2024 crossed party lines to vote for Republican Mike Rogers instead of Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed this year.
- The 2026 midterm elections are crucial for determining control of Congress and the future of President Trump's agenda. Voters will decide all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, and 36 governorships, with the outcome potentially reshaping the political landscape.
What's still developing
- Trump’s escalating trade war with Canada could raise costs for businesses and consumers in key battleground states before voters head to the polls.
- They show how costs have changed, though not how voters will assign responsibility.
- The impact varies by household, but these figures offer a snapshot of the price pressures voters may weigh ahead of the midterms.
- On election night, our elections team will be processing representative data from all 50 states about who people voted for and what was on their mind as they cast their ballot.
- Where pre-election polls provide a snapshot of where a race stands leading up to an election, exit polls enable journalists to unpack the “why” underlying the election outcome in real time.
- They can tell us, for instance, if those who cast ballots in the 2026 midterms were motivated by the economy or the Iran war, and whether women, Latinos or young voters behaved differently than in previous elections.
- Hours before polls close, a new survey shows a stark disconnect between what Republican voters want their party to focus on and what they say the party actually is focusing on.
- This item was delivered with an ultimatum: use the list within the next two days to review the names and prepare to separate their mail-in ballots when returned—or get sued.
- Hundreds of measures are on Americans’ ballots for November that can confuse voters.
- The overall sample of Texas likely voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3.1 percent.
- Neither candidate reached the majority needed to win outright, forcing both campaigns to compete for a shrinking pool of undecided voters while trying to mobilize their supporters in a country deeply divided over its political future.