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14 Tossup Races Could Decide House Control
· Confirmed
In Short: ABC News reports that 14 races are rated as Tossup, with outcomes expected to be decided by narrow margins.
These races are crucial for determining the balance of power in the House for the 120th Congress.
The Los Angeles Times notes that a Democratic majority in both chambers could lead to a 'blue wave,' potentially sweeping up House seats and tipping key Senate races.
Split control of Congress would give House Democrats the ability to launch investigations into the Trump administration and block Republican legislative priorities.
Voters in 39 states and the Northern Mariana Islands will decide on 146 statewide ballot measures that could alter state laws or constitutions.
The 2026 US midterm elections will take place on Tuesday, November 3, with control of Congress and dozens of state governments at stake.
Haley Stevens, D-Mich., endorsed Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers, a major shake-up in a top battleground race.
NBC News highlights key races in the Midwest, including Iowa, Michigan, and Wisconsin, as the battle for control of the Senate and House is truly nationwide.
Kake reports that the race for Alaska's U.S. Senate seat could determine which party controls the chamber.
USA Today notes that the race for Alaska's Senate seat is being closely watched nationally as it could determine control of the Senate.
Rollcall reports that Democrats see a path to an unlikely upset in an under-the-radar race.
In their first legislative session with the majority in both chambers, Democrats ratified the Equal Rights Amendment, enacted tighter gun control, expanded voting access, banned discrimination against LGBTQ Virginians, and rolled back abortion restrictions.
NPR's Leila Fadel is reporting from Maine, where a Senate race could help determine control of the chamber.
What this adds
The races highlighted by ABC News and NPR add to the existing challenge Democrats face in regaining control of the US Senate.
The sources have not established the exact number of races that will determine control of the House, but they agree that the outcome of the 2026 midterm elections will be crucial for the balance of power in Congress.
Background
In the run-up to the 2026 midterm elections, Democrats face a challenging path to regain control of the US Senate, where Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority.
Voters will decide all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, and 36 governorships on November 3, 2026, with control of Congress and dozens of state governments at stake.
What's confirmed
- These races are crucial for determining the balance of power in the House for the 120th Congress.
- The Los Angeles Times notes that a Democratic majority in both chambers could lead to a 'blue wave,' potentially sweeping up House seats and tipping key Senate races.
- Split control of Congress would give House Democrats the ability to launch investigations into the Trump administration and block Republican legislative priorities.
- Voters in 39 states and the Northern Mariana Islands will decide on 146 statewide ballot measures that could alter state laws or constitutions.
- The 2026 US midterm elections will take place on Tuesday, November 3, with control of Congress and dozens of state governments at stake.
- Haley Stevens, D-Mich., endorsed Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers, a major shake-up in a top battleground race.
- NBC News highlights key races in the Midwest, including Iowa, Michigan, and Wisconsin, as the battle for control of the Senate and House is truly nationwide.
- Kake reports that the race for Alaska's U.S. Senate seat could determine which party controls the chamber.
- USA Today notes that the race for Alaska's Senate seat is being closely watched nationally as it could determine control of the Senate.
- Rollcall reports that Democrats see a path to an unlikely upset in an under-the-radar race.
- In their first legislative session with the majority in both chambers, Democrats ratified the Equal Rights Amendment, enacted tighter gun control, expanded voting access, banned discrimination against LGBTQ Virginians, and rolled back abortion restrictions.
- NPR's Leila Fadel is reporting from Maine, where a Senate race could help determine control of the chamber.
What's still developing
- Senate, with 45 Democrats and two independents in the opposition, but there’s a very real chance control of the chamber could flip on Tuesday.
- Morgan Sharp, a Trump and Marshall supporter, said he thinks Marshall will win, but acknowledged t’s a close race and that “We need all the support we can get,” Sharp said.