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Election Night: Key Races and Early Voting Trends
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In Short: Tonight's mid-decade elections in California and gubernatorial contests in Virginia and New Jersey could signal broader trends for next year's midterms.
The BBC notes that while tonight's elections do not feature presidential or congressional races, they still hold significant importance.
In California, voters are participating in a rare mid-decade redistricting process, which Democrats aim to use to counter Republican efforts to gain an advantage in next year's midterm elections.
Kim Alexander, president of the California Voter Foundation, warns that these shifts can undermine voter confidence and open the door to election misinformation.
Experts advise against being swayed by early returns, noting that it can take California weeks to fully tally votes, leading to shifts in early tallies.
President Donald Trump announced that his super PAC will now fund a multimillion-dollar pro-Trump ad blitz ahead of the midterm elections.
The Indian Express reports that polls will close at different times across the country, with election results expected to begin coming in on Tuesday evening.
In Israel, President Isaac Herzog said the election was a 'badge of honour' for Israeli society.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz plans to stay in office despite his party's losses in two state elections, and reaffirmed the government's plans for economic reforms.
FOX News has developed a new election experience for its streaming service, FOX One, in partnership with FOX News Media.
The Central Elections Committee in Israel has launched its election-integrity monitoring operation, as it does in every election.
Background
CalMatters reports that early voting trends can be misleading, with a phenomenon known as 'red mirage' or 'blue shift' where initial tallies may favor one party but shift as more votes are counted.
What's confirmed
- The BBC notes that while tonight's elections do not feature presidential or congressional races, they still hold significant importance.
- In California, voters are participating in a rare mid-decade redistricting process, which Democrats aim to use to counter Republican efforts to gain an advantage in next year's midterm elections.
- Kim Alexander, president of the California Voter Foundation, warns that these shifts can undermine voter confidence and open the door to election misinformation.
- Experts advise against being swayed by early returns, noting that it can take California weeks to fully tally votes, leading to shifts in early tallies.
- President Donald Trump announced that his super PAC will now fund a multimillion-dollar pro-Trump ad blitz ahead of the midterm elections.
- The Indian Express reports that polls will close at different times across the country, with election results expected to begin coming in on Tuesday evening.
- In Israel, President Isaac Herzog said the election was a 'badge of honour' for Israeli society.
- German Chancellor Friedrich Merz plans to stay in office despite his party's losses in two state elections, and reaffirmed the government's plans for economic reforms.
- FOX News has developed a new election experience for its streaming service, FOX One, in partnership with FOX News Media.
- The Central Elections Committee in Israel has launched its election-integrity monitoring operation, as it does in every election.
What's still developing
- Six years ago, election night returns showed Trump leading Joe Biden in several key states, but as counties nationwide counted ballots over the coming days, Biden ended up winning in the states that put him over the top in the Electoral College.
- The phenomenon has been described since at least 2013, but the terms gained traction around the contentious 2020 elections.
- Trump and his allies in the federal government are already laying the groundwork for questioning the election results as they embark on an unprecedented attack on California’s elections, setting up what could be a showdown over the fundamentals of American democracy.
- That meant more Republican votes were reported in the first wave of election returns, a red mirage that disappeared as Democratic votes were fully tabulated.
- Experts urge you not to be fooled by their claims of “rigged” elections based on early returns.
- Democratic margin with voters 18-29, election result 2024 +11, Trump wins presidency 2022 +28, Republicans win House, Democrats gain Senate seat 2020 +25, Biden wins presidency 2018 +35, Democrats win House 2016 +19, Trump wins presidency 2014 +11, Republicans expand House majority, win Senate 2012 +23, Obama wins re-election 2010 +17, Republicans win House 2008 +34, Obama wins presidency 2006 +22, Democrats win House Given past polling errors in Texas that underestimated the Republican vote, there's a healthy skepticism that Democrat James Talarico's margin of error lead in polling averages is enough to win.
- Here are five things to watch for as the results begin rolling in tonight: Don’t be fooled by early returns.
- Tensions had flared after Stevens gave a precondition for her appearance: El-Sayed must denounce an ad attributing rising costs to US support of Israel Sign up for the Breaking News US email Tensions had flared after Stevens gave a precondition for her appearance: El-Sayed must denounce an ad attributing rising costs to US support of Israel Sign up for the Breaking News US email Abdul El-Sayed’s campaign has requested that Haley Stevens, El-Sayed’s former opponent in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary, not attend a campaign event alongside him on Sunday, Politico reported Friday night, citing two people familiar with the decision.
- President Donald Trump, in a campaign rally Monday night in Kansas ahead of next month’s midterm elections, said USDA would provide $8 billion in relief to farmers squeezed by soaring diesel prices.
- And while we wait, why not read Stephen Pollard’s analysis of an eventful election night – Echoes of Brexit as pundits called it wrong in writing off Bibi prematurely 4.46pm – CEC reviewing Likud claims of voter fraud “The Central Elections Committee has launched its election-integrity monitoring operation, as it does in every election, as part of which all inquiries from parties concerning election integrity or alleged errors in the results will be examined,” the committee said.
- The campaign has drawn $158 million in donations.
- Cuomo, undeterred, has continued to campaign as an independent.