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US Inflation Surges to 3.7% in September

Confirmed

Business Desk

In Short: According to federal government data released on Wednesday, US inflation surged to a 3.7% annual rate in September, up from 3.4% in August, exceeding economists' expectations.

Recent surges in house prices have affected many — but not all — countries in the European Union (OWID chart, Eurostat data)
Photo: Our World in Data / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 4.0)

According to federal government data released on Wednesday, US inflation surged to a 3.7% annual rate in September, up from 3.4% in August, exceeding economists' expectations. ABC News and BigGo Finance reported this increase, with both outlets noting that the rise was driven largely by higher gasoline prices.

ABC News and BigGo Finance also highlighted that gas prices jumped more than 9% in September from August, accounting for more than half of the overall price increase. This significant rise in fuel costs has been attributed to ongoing tensions in the Middle East, particularly the Iran war, which has disrupted oil supplies and increased shipping costs.

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The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that food prices remained stable in September, with annual inflation for food at 2.5%. However, energy prices rose sharply, with the annual rate reaching 20.4% in September, according to BigGo Finance.

Despite the overall increase in inflation, some categories saw less dramatic changes. Shelter prices, which include home-owner payments and rental charges, also rose in September, contributing to the overall inflation rate.

Nick Timiraos, a financial journalist known as the 'Fed whisperer,' calculated that September's unrounded core inflation rose 0.33% month-over-month, roughly 0.1 percentage point above most economists' expectations. This indicates that core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is also on the rise.

The inflation report comes at a critical time, with the Federal Reserve set to meet on October 27–28 to decide on interest rates. The report suggests that the Fed's September rate hike was not a one-off move, as inflation remains stubbornly high.

In addition to the US, other countries are also experiencing inflationary pressures. Türkiye Today reported that French inflation reached 3% in September, the highest level since February 2024, driven by surging energy prices linked to the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz.

Aninews in India noted that oil prices have climbed sharply, adding to concerns about higher energy and transportation costs. This trend is likely to keep inflation elevated in the near term.

Kyivindependent in Ukraine reported that the central bank decided against further rate cuts due to heightened inflation risks, as Russia grapples with fuel shortages and price surges caused by Ukrainian drone strikes.

The University of Michigan survey shows that US consumer confidence has fallen to historic lows, with both short- and long-term inflation expectations rising across the board.

While the reports from ABC News and BigGo Finance differ slightly in their specific figures, they agree that US inflation has surged to a 3.7% annual rate in September, driven primarily by higher gasoline prices and energy costs.

What this adds

The surge in inflation has led to increased volatility in financial markets, with bond yields and stock prices reacting to the data.

What's confirmed

What's still developing

Sources