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Latvian Exit Polls Show United List Leading as Counting Begins
Developing
In Short: Latvian exit polls indicate that Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs' pro-Ukraine United List party is leading the parliamentary elections with 35% support, according to public broadcaster LSM's exit polling on Oct. 3.

The results suggest that United List would need to form a coalition to secure a parliamentary majority, as no single party typically achieves a majority in Latvia.
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has influenced Latvian politics, with the majority of Latvia’s electoral parties supporting Ukraine despite a significant Russian-speaking population.
Latvia has seen spillover from the conflict, with NATO planes shooting down several stray drones in Latvian airspace.
The current political landscape in Latvia was shaped by a previous government collapse triggered by a Ukrainian drone incursion into Latvian airspace, leading to the formation of a four-party coalition led by Kulbergs.
What's still developing
- The majority of Latvia’s electoral parties are pro-Ukraine, despite a third of the country speaking Russian as their first language.
- Latvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs’ centrist United List party is projected to win the greatest number of seats in the Latvian parliament with 35% support, exit polling commissioned by public broadcaster LSM showed on Oct. 3.
Sources
- Kyivindependentlink
