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Chinese Refiners Suspend October Fuel Exports

Confirmed

Business Desk

In Short: Chinese refiners have suspended fuel exports to regions outside Hong Kong and Macau until further notice, according to sources familiar with the matter. This move comes as China begins a week-long national holiday on Thursday without approving October exports.

Flag of Hong Kong
Flag of Hong Kong (Wikimedia Commons)

The decision to halt exports is driven by concerns over domestic fuel availability, as China's own fuel stocks have dropped. State-owned refiners have already cancelled several gasoline and jet fuel cargoes planned for October.

The suspension of fuel exports does not increase the crude oil supply, as refinery throughput remains constrained. Middle East crude flows are nearing prewar levels, but fuel supplies, particularly gasoline, remain lower.

Brent December futures reversed a 1% intraday decline to trade 2.4% higher at $100.36 per barrel, while WTI November futures rose 2.5% to $92.70 after the news of the export suspension.

According to UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, the Chinese export ban suggests concerns about domestic product availability. It remains to be seen whether the measures will support higher crude imports after recent drawdowns in Chinese crude and fuel stocks.

The halt in exports could place additional strain on global fuel markets and drive prices higher in some countries as traders face reduced supplies from key producing regions.

Chinese refiners have the largest refining capacity in the world but usually export less fuel than India or South Korea. The decision to suspend exports may depend on domestic fuel inventories and refinery output after the holiday ends on October 7.

The shortage in diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel is pushing crude oil prices higher, as US refiners are short of fuel to sell rather than barrels to run.

Restored crude exports from the Middle East do not increase fuel supply when refinery throughput remains constrained, leading to a potential tightening of global fuel markets.

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