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Diesel Prices Soar as Global Supply Crunch Looms Through Winter

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In Short: Diesel prices are breaking records and soaring across the world, setting up for continued strength in markets as supply issues persist, according to industry experts.

Diesel prices are breaking records and soaring across the world, setting up for continued strength in markets as supply issues persist, according to industry experts. Mark Senn, senior vice president for global trading at Phillips 66, noted that the winter season, with diesel stocks in deficit, is likely to exacerbate the situation.

The problem is that lost supply is not returning soon. Russia has a ban on diesel exports due to damage from Ukrainian drone strikes and domestic fuel shortages, while Middle Eastern refiners are struggling to get their fuels out of the Strait of Hormuz, dealing with refinery damage as well.

In the United States, diesel prices have topped $5.90 per gallon, breaking records recently. President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine believes that Russian President Vladimir Putin 'needs' US President Donald Trump and is unlikely to antagonize him ahead of winter, as Moscow views the season as a chance to weaken Ukraine.

Zelensky noted that he remains convinced Putin views the approaching winter as leverage to push Kyiv into further concessions. He told that Washington’s current strategy combines two goals – reopening formal talks and securing informal arrangements to prevent an escalation during the winter season. The US is also assembling a separate winter aid package for Ukraine.

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