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UK Chancellor Warns of Tough Budget Amid Iran Conflict

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In Short: Chancellor John Healey has warned that the upcoming Budget could be challenging due to the economic impacts of US President Donald Trump's war with Iran, as he seeks to build a fiscal buffer against uncertainty.

Chancellor John Healey has warned that the upcoming Budget could be challenging due to the economic impacts of US President Donald Trump's war with Iran, as he seeks to build a fiscal buffer against uncertainty. Economists predict that the fiscal buffer built by Rachel Reeves will be squeezed by ongoing global turmoil, potentially limiting Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s cost-of-living crisis measures and wider spending plans.

In an interview with the Financial Times, Healey said the conflict in Iran would probably have a strong influence on his first budget on 28 October. The Chancellor has announced changes to Treasury rules aimed at helping to speed up regional regeneration and has warned that the Budget in the autumn could be tough, due to the economic impacts of US President Donald Trump’s war with Iran.

The Chancellor has also indicated that the UK will hit its goal of raising defence spending to 3.5% of GDP by 2035, which is already a Nato commitment. Healey has warned that the Budget will be tough, and that the Treasury has to bring the Budget into surplus by the end of the Parliament, excluding investment per key fiscal rules. He says he is “in lockstep in our determination to meet the fiscal rules” along with the Prime Minister.

The Chancellor previously served as defence secretary under Sir Keir Starmer and has announced that the UK will face a tough budget next month due to Trump’s war in the Middle East, according to reports.

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